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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.23+0.75vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.44+0.45vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.83+1.16vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.01-0.04vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.07-2.03vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.04-0.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.75Stanford University3.230.5%1st Place
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2.45University of Southern California2.440.2%1st Place
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4.16University of California at Los Angeles0.830.0%1st Place
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3.96University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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2.97University of Hawaii2.070.1%1st Place
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5.71University of California at San Diego-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McKinney | 51.4% | 29.0% | 14.1% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Alexis Tarakjian | 24.4% | 31.3% | 25.4% | 13.1% | 5.3% | 0.5% |
| Nora Brackbill | 4.7% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 26.0% | 40.0% | 9.0% |
| Lauren Amery | 4.4% | 9.6% | 16.4% | 29.8% | 34.7% | 5.1% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 14.5% | 21.2% | 30.1% | 22.9% | 9.5% | 1.8% |
| Maaike Boomgaard | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 9.5% | 83.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.