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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.14+1.36vs Predicted
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2Lake Forest College-0.42+2.81vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University0.96-0.23vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.09+0.12vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.74+0.27vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-0.74-0.79vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.51-2.10vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-1.60-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36University of Wisconsin1.1436.3%1st Place
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4.81Lake Forest College-0.426.5%1st Place
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2.77Michigan Technological University0.9624.6%1st Place
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4.12Marquette University-0.0910.7%1st Place
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5.27Northwestern University-0.746.0%1st Place
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5.21University of Illinois-0.746.1%1st Place
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4.9Purdue University-0.517.0%1st Place
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6.57Marquette University-1.602.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 36.3% | 25.7% | 18.2% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Marquez | 6.5% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 9.3% |
| Andrew Michels | 24.6% | 27.0% | 19.3% | 13.6% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Eli Erling | 10.7% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 18.8% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 3.6% |
| Dexter Gormley | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 17.8% | 18.1% | 15.3% |
| Logan Hoang | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 16.8% | 19.6% | 13.7% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 7.0% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 9.8% |
| Peter Wall | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 17.4% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.