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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.10+1.39vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois-0.74+3.28vs Predicted
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3Lake Forest College-0.42+1.68vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.74+1.39vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.09-0.86vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University0.96-3.23vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.51-2.20vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-1.60-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39University of Wisconsin1.1034.4%1st Place
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5.28University of Illinois-0.745.7%1st Place
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4.68Lake Forest College-0.427.9%1st Place
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5.39Northwestern University-0.745.2%1st Place
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4.14Marquette University-0.0910.3%1st Place
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2.77Michigan Technological University0.9625.6%1st Place
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4.8Purdue University-0.517.9%1st Place
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6.56Marquette University-1.602.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 34.4% | 26.8% | 18.6% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Logan Hoang | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 18.3% | 20.0% | 13.9% |
| Lucia Marquez | 7.9% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 7.6% |
| Dexter Gormley | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 21.6% | 15.8% |
| Eli Erling | 10.3% | 12.5% | 16.7% | 17.3% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 9.1% | 3.8% |
| Andrew Michels | 25.6% | 26.2% | 18.4% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 7.9% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 16.5% | 9.4% |
| Peter Wall | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 16.2% | 48.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.