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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.23+0.81vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.44+0.55vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.07-0.02vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.83+0.29vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.57-1.38vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.04-0.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.81Stanford University3.230.5%1st Place
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2.55University of Southern California2.440.2%1st Place
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2.98University of Hawaii2.070.2%1st Place
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4.29University of California at Los Angeles0.830.0%1st Place
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3.62University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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5.75University of California at San Diego-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McKinney | 48.8% | 29.5% | 15.5% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Alexis Tarakjian | 24.2% | 27.2% | 25.7% | 16.0% | 6.3% | 0.6% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 15.1% | 20.8% | 27.2% | 25.4% | 10.7% | 0.8% |
| Nora Brackbill | 3.9% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 20.9% | 49.0% | 8.4% |
| Aubrey Toole | 7.4% | 14.4% | 19.9% | 29.7% | 23.9% | 4.7% |
| Maaike Boomgaard | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 3.2% | 9.0% | 85.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.