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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.10+1.42vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.96+0.78vs Predicted
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3Lake Forest College-0.42+1.69vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.74+1.25vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.09-0.95vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-1.60+0.58vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.51-2.05vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-0.74-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42University of Wisconsin1.1034.3%1st Place
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2.78Michigan Technological University0.9624.2%1st Place
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4.69Lake Forest College-0.428.0%1st Place
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5.25Northwestern University-0.746.0%1st Place
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4.05Marquette University-0.0912.2%1st Place
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6.58Marquette University-1.603.2%1st Place
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4.95Purdue University-0.517.9%1st Place
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5.28University of Illinois-0.744.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 34.3% | 25.7% | 18.6% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Michels | 24.2% | 26.0% | 20.2% | 15.0% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Lucia Marquez | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 17.0% | 17.6% | 13.9% | 7.8% |
| Dexter Gormley | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 19.3% | 14.5% |
| Eli Erling | 12.2% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 17.8% | 17.0% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 3.1% |
| Peter Wall | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 12.1% | 17.6% | 48.4% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 7.9% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 16.0% | 17.6% | 10.5% |
| Logan Hoang | 4.2% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 17.3% | 19.7% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.