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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.23+0.74vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.07+0.82vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.44-0.54vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.83+0.18vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.01-0.91vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.04-0.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74Stanford University3.230.5%1st Place
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2.82University of Hawaii2.070.2%1st Place
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2.46University of Southern California2.440.2%1st Place
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4.18University of California at Los Angeles0.830.0%1st Place
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4.09University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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5.7University of California at San Diego-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McKinney | 51.9% | 28.8% | 13.4% | 4.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 16.9% | 23.6% | 29.7% | 20.6% | 8.3% | 0.9% |
| Alexis Tarakjian | 22.6% | 30.4% | 28.8% | 14.8% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Nora Brackbill | 4.3% | 7.1% | 12.1% | 26.7% | 42.4% | 7.4% |
| Lauren Amery | 3.7% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 29.4% | 34.5% | 9.0% |
| Maaike Boomgaard | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 11.0% | 82.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.