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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.23+0.72vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles0.83+2.20vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.44-0.55vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.07-1.17vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.01-0.89vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.04-0.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72Stanford University3.230.5%1st Place
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4.2University of California at Los Angeles0.830.0%1st Place
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2.45University of Southern California2.440.2%1st Place
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2.83University of Hawaii2.070.2%1st Place
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4.11University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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5.69University of California at San Diego-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McKinney | 51.7% | 30.1% | 13.4% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Nora Brackbill | 3.5% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 26.7% | 40.2% | 9.0% |
| Alexis Tarakjian | 23.7% | 30.3% | 27.7% | 14.6% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 16.5% | 21.5% | 33.0% | 21.2% | 7.3% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Amery | 4.0% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 29.1% | 37.1% | 8.4% |
| Maaike Boomgaard | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 4.6% | 11.3% | 81.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.