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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.40+0.28vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-0.17+1.56vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.12+0.17vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-1.43+1.54vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-1.40+0.41vs Predicted
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6Lake Forest College-1.43-0.51vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.72-1.01vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-1.49-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.28University of Wisconsin2.4075.9%1st Place
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3.56Michigan Technological University-0.176.3%1st Place
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3.17Marquette University0.128.2%1st Place
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5.54Marquette University-1.431.6%1st Place
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5.41University of Illinois-1.402.1%1st Place
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5.49Lake Forest College-1.432.3%1st Place
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5.99Northwestern University-1.721.8%1st Place
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5.56Purdue University-1.491.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Spencer | 75.9% | 20.3% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 6.3% | 20.5% | 27.1% | 20.1% | 13.7% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Colin Hexter | 8.2% | 30.0% | 26.7% | 17.0% | 10.8% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| John Riordan | 1.6% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 17.4% | 18.1% | 18.8% |
| Jack Morby | 2.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 17.6% | 19.6% | 15.2% |
| Juan Moya | 2.3% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 19.1% | 18.4% | 16.6% |
| Varoon Enjeti | 1.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 19.4% | 29.1% |
| Lily Rouget | 1.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 19.6% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.