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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.16+2.41vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.65vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.11+2.15vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.90-0.08vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.39-1.86vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.26-2.71vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.80-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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3.65U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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5.15Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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3.92U. S. Naval Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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3.14Georgetown University3.390.2%1st Place
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3.29Georgetown University3.260.2%1st Place
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5.44Villanova University1.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Swikart | 19.8% | 16.5% | 17.3% | 16.8% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 4.9% |
| Lukas Edegran | 14.2% | 17.1% | 16.5% | 18.2% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 6.1% |
| Mia Cooper | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 16.9% | 22.2% | 31.3% |
| Philip Youngberg | 13.4% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 8.6% |
| Peter Johns | 21.2% | 22.0% | 18.1% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
| Andrew Mason | 19.8% | 18.0% | 19.7% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 8.7% | 3.9% |
| Andrew Sayre | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 21.0% | 42.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.