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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+2.64vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.16+1.45vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.90+0.87vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.39-0.88vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.80+0.61vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.11-0.85vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.26-3.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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3.45University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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3.87U. S. Naval Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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3.12Georgetown University3.390.2%1st Place
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5.61Villanova University1.800.0%1st Place
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5.15Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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3.16Georgetown University3.260.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Edegran | 15.5% | 17.6% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 16.7% | 12.7% | 6.6% |
| Jack Swikart | 16.3% | 18.5% | 18.8% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 4.1% |
| Philip Youngberg | 14.7% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 16.9% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 7.7% |
| Peter Johns | 22.1% | 19.2% | 19.7% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 8.1% | 2.1% |
| Andrew Sayre | 3.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 19.7% | 45.7% |
| Mia Cooper | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 23.9% | 30.9% |
| Andrew Mason | 22.5% | 18.2% | 17.9% | 17.8% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.