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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-1.43+4.57vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.40-0.74vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.12+0.21vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.17-0.49vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-1.40+0.50vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-1.49-0.38vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.72-1.08vs Predicted
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8Lake Forest College-1.43-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.57Marquette University-1.431.6%1st Place
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1.26University of Wisconsin2.4077.6%1st Place
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3.21Marquette University0.127.8%1st Place
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3.51Michigan Technological University-0.176.3%1st Place
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5.5University of Illinois-1.402.1%1st Place
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5.62Purdue University-1.491.8%1st Place
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5.92Northwestern University-1.720.9%1st Place
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5.41Lake Forest College-1.431.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Riordan | 1.6% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 17.5% | 19.0% | 18.9% |
| Sam Spencer | 77.6% | 19.4% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Hexter | 7.8% | 27.9% | 26.9% | 18.9% | 11.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 6.3% | 23.2% | 26.2% | 18.8% | 13.6% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Jack Morby | 2.1% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 18.8% | 18.1% | 17.2% |
| Lily Rouget | 1.8% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 17.9% | 19.7% | 19.2% |
| Varoon Enjeti | 0.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 19.5% | 27.1% |
| Juan Moya | 1.8% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 18.4% | 16.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.