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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.39+2.02vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.70vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.80+2.55vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.90-0.06vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.16-1.51vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.11-0.87vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.26-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02Georgetown University3.390.3%1st Place
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3.7U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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5.55Villanova University1.800.0%1st Place
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3.94U. S. Naval Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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3.49University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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5.13Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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3.15Georgetown University3.260.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Johns | 25.6% | 19.2% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 3.2% |
| Lukas Edegran | 13.8% | 15.5% | 18.5% | 16.5% | 16.7% | 12.5% | 6.5% |
| Andrew Sayre | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 21.5% | 43.6% |
| Philip Youngberg | 12.6% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 18.3% | 15.5% | 8.1% |
| Jack Swikart | 15.8% | 19.3% | 17.8% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 11.3% | 5.2% |
| Mia Cooper | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 24.4% | 30.3% |
| Andrew Mason | 21.8% | 19.9% | 17.1% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 7.2% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.