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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.40+0.29vs Predicted
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2Lake Forest College-1.20+3.14vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-1.49+2.63vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.12-0.82vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-1.43+0.54vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-0.17-2.40vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.72-0.96vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-1.40-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.29University of Wisconsin2.4076.3%1st Place
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5.14Lake Forest College-1.202.1%1st Place
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5.63Purdue University-1.491.7%1st Place
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3.18Marquette University0.128.6%1st Place
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5.54Marquette University-1.431.8%1st Place
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3.6Michigan Technological University-0.176.1%1st Place
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6.04Northwestern University-1.721.8%1st Place
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5.59University of Illinois-1.401.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Spencer | 76.3% | 18.9% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wiktoria Pedryc | 2.1% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 16.5% | 18.3% | 16.5% | 11.6% |
| Lily Rouget | 1.7% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 19.5% |
| Colin Hexter | 8.6% | 28.3% | 25.8% | 19.6% | 10.8% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| John Riordan | 1.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 16.5% | 19.7% | 17.9% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 6.1% | 21.9% | 25.0% | 20.0% | 13.4% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Varoon Enjeti | 1.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 19.4% | 30.1% |
| Jack Morby | 1.6% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 17.9% | 19.1% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.