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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.16+2.42vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.68vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.26+0.29vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.80+1.61vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.90-1.08vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.39-2.90vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.11-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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3.68U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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3.29Georgetown University3.260.2%1st Place
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5.61Villanova University1.800.0%1st Place
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3.92U. S. Naval Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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3.1Georgetown University3.390.2%1st Place
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4.99Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Swikart | 18.5% | 18.5% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 5.5% |
| Lukas Edegran | 15.7% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 20.4% | 16.6% | 11.5% | 6.6% |
| Andrew Mason | 19.0% | 19.6% | 18.2% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 3.8% |
| Andrew Sayre | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 19.6% | 45.5% |
| Philip Youngberg | 12.5% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 18.6% | 15.7% | 8.2% |
| Peter Johns | 23.2% | 19.4% | 19.1% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 8.4% | 2.8% |
| Mia Cooper | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 14.7% | 24.7% | 27.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.