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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.40+0.26vs Predicted
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2Marquette University0.12+1.20vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-0.17+0.63vs Predicted
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4Lake Forest College-1.20+1.09vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-1.43+0.52vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-1.40-0.49vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-1.49-1.33vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-1.72-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.26University of Wisconsin2.4078.4%1st Place
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3.2Marquette University0.127.6%1st Place
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3.63Michigan Technological University-0.175.9%1st Place
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5.09Lake Forest College-1.202.4%1st Place
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5.52Marquette University-1.431.5%1st Place
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5.51University of Illinois-1.401.4%1st Place
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5.67Purdue University-1.491.8%1st Place
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6.1Northwestern University-1.721.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Spencer | 78.4% | 17.6% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Hexter | 7.6% | 30.0% | 24.9% | 19.6% | 10.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 5.9% | 20.5% | 25.2% | 20.6% | 14.2% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Wiktoria Pedryc | 2.4% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 17.7% | 16.1% | 11.2% |
| John Riordan | 1.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 18.6% | 18.5% | 17.8% |
| Jack Morby | 1.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 21.0% | 17.6% |
| Lily Rouget | 1.8% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 18.6% | 18.4% | 21.1% |
| Varoon Enjeti | 1.1% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 16.7% | 20.2% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.