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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.40+0.26vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-0.17+1.61vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois-1.40+2.52vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-1.43+1.57vs Predicted
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5Lake Forest College-1.20+0.13vs Predicted
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6Marquette University0.12-2.81vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.72-0.97vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-1.49-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.26University of Wisconsin2.4077.9%1st Place
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3.61Michigan Technological University-0.176.2%1st Place
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5.52University of Illinois-1.401.2%1st Place
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5.57Marquette University-1.431.9%1st Place
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5.13Lake Forest College-1.202.2%1st Place
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3.19Marquette University0.128.0%1st Place
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6.03Northwestern University-1.721.1%1st Place
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5.68Purdue University-1.491.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Spencer | 77.9% | 18.6% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 6.2% | 21.6% | 23.9% | 20.4% | 14.6% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Jack Morby | 1.2% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 18.6% | 19.1% |
| John Riordan | 1.9% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 17.4% | 20.6% | 17.8% |
| Wiktoria Pedryc | 2.2% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 13.2% |
| Colin Hexter | 8.0% | 29.5% | 25.7% | 18.6% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Varoon Enjeti | 1.1% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 18.1% | 20.0% | 28.2% |
| Lily Rouget | 1.4% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 18.5% | 19.6% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.