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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.90+2.82vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.26+1.23vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.11+2.12vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.39-0.85vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.99-1.25vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania3.16-2.54vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.80-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82U. S. Naval Academy2.900.2%1st Place
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3.23Georgetown University3.260.2%1st Place
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5.12Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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3.15Georgetown University3.390.2%1st Place
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3.75U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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3.46University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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5.46Villanova University1.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Youngberg | 15.2% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 17.9% | 14.1% | 8.1% |
| Andrew Mason | 19.6% | 21.3% | 17.0% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 7.4% | 4.3% |
| Mia Cooper | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 23.3% | 30.3% |
| Peter Johns | 21.7% | 19.1% | 19.2% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 2.4% |
| Lukas Edegran | 13.6% | 16.3% | 17.0% | 16.5% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 7.8% |
| Jack Swikart | 18.1% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 4.7% |
| Andrew Sayre | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 21.6% | 42.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.