← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin2.40+0.27vs Predicted
-
2Michigan Technological University-0.17+1.61vs Predicted
-
3Marquette University-1.43+2.64vs Predicted
-
4Marquette University0.12-0.83vs Predicted
-
5University of Illinois-1.40+0.49vs Predicted
-
6Lake Forest College-1.20-0.83vs Predicted
-
7Purdue University-1.49-1.42vs Predicted
-
8Northwestern University-1.72-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.27University of Wisconsin2.4077.5%1st Place
-
3.61Michigan Technological University-0.176.0%1st Place
-
5.64Marquette University-1.431.5%1st Place
-
3.17Marquette University0.128.6%1st Place
-
5.49University of Illinois-1.401.8%1st Place
-
5.17Lake Forest College-1.202.0%1st Place
-
5.58Purdue University-1.491.4%1st Place
-
6.05Northwestern University-1.721.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Spencer | 77.5% | 18.6% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 6.0% | 21.7% | 25.4% | 18.8% | 14.5% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| John Riordan | 1.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 18.4% | 20.2% | 19.6% |
| Colin Hexter | 8.6% | 29.3% | 27.1% | 16.6% | 11.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Jack Morby | 1.8% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 18.5% | 17.5% |
| Wiktoria Pedryc | 2.0% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 17.5% | 16.4% | 12.0% |
| Lily Rouget | 1.4% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 17.6% | 19.1% | 19.2% |
| Varoon Enjeti | 1.3% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 19.8% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.