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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.26+2.26vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.90+1.83vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.39+0.07vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.99-0.25vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.16-1.52vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.80-0.41vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.11-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26Georgetown University3.260.2%1st Place
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3.83U. S. Naval Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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3.07Georgetown University3.390.2%1st Place
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3.75U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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3.48University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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5.59Villanova University1.800.0%1st Place
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5.02Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Mason | 21.4% | 19.2% | 16.7% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 4.5% |
| Philip Youngberg | 12.7% | 15.1% | 16.0% | 18.5% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 7.7% |
| Peter Johns | 22.5% | 20.7% | 18.6% | 16.3% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Lukas Edegran | 15.0% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 17.8% | 14.6% | 6.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 16.2% | 19.8% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 10.6% | 5.6% |
| Andrew Sayre | 4.7% | 3.1% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 19.3% | 45.5% |
| Mia Cooper | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 14.9% | 25.3% | 27.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.