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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.40+0.28vs Predicted
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2Marquette University0.12+1.14vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-0.17+0.56vs Predicted
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4Lake Forest College-1.43+1.47vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-1.49+0.62vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-1.40-0.50vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.72-0.97vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-1.39-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.28University of Wisconsin2.4077.3%1st Place
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3.14Marquette University0.128.3%1st Place
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3.56Michigan Technological University-0.176.7%1st Place
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5.47Lake Forest College-1.431.8%1st Place
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5.62Purdue University-1.491.6%1st Place
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5.5University of Illinois-1.401.5%1st Place
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6.03Northwestern University-1.721.0%1st Place
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5.4Marquette University-1.391.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Spencer | 77.3% | 18.1% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Hexter | 8.3% | 29.9% | 27.4% | 18.3% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 6.7% | 22.2% | 24.9% | 19.8% | 13.6% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Juan Moya | 1.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 19.9% | 16.9% |
| Lily Rouget | 1.6% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 18.0% | 18.5% | 20.0% |
| Jack Morby | 1.5% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 17.6% | 19.0% | 17.6% | 16.7% |
| Varoon Enjeti | 1.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 21.1% | 28.2% |
| Caroline Bielski | 1.9% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 18.5% | 16.5% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.