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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.26+2.23vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.68vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.90+0.88vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.16-0.52vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.39-1.87vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.80-0.42vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.11-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23Georgetown University3.260.2%1st Place
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3.68U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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3.88U. S. Naval Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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3.48University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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3.13Georgetown University3.390.2%1st Place
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5.58Villanova University1.800.0%1st Place
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5.01Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Mason | 21.7% | 19.1% | 16.2% | 17.6% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 4.1% |
| Lukas Edegran | 13.3% | 17.8% | 16.7% | 16.6% | 17.3% | 12.2% | 6.1% |
| Philip Youngberg | 13.4% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 8.2% |
| Jack Swikart | 17.9% | 16.2% | 17.8% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 4.4% |
| Peter Johns | 22.1% | 20.9% | 17.9% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 7.9% | 3.5% |
| Andrew Sayre | 4.7% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 18.8% | 45.7% |
| Mia Cooper | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 14.8% | 24.7% | 28.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.