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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.40+0.27vs Predicted
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2Lake Forest College-1.43+3.54vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-0.17+0.59vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.12-0.85vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-1.49+0.58vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-1.72-0.05vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-1.39-1.58vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-1.40-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.27University of Wisconsin2.4077.8%1st Place
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5.54Lake Forest College-1.431.5%1st Place
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3.59Michigan Technological University-0.175.7%1st Place
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3.15Marquette University0.128.0%1st Place
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5.58Purdue University-1.492.0%1st Place
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5.95Northwestern University-1.721.7%1st Place
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5.42Marquette University-1.391.5%1st Place
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5.49University of Illinois-1.402.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Spencer | 77.8% | 18.1% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Moya | 1.5% | 5.2% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 16.6% | 16.6% | 19.6% | 17.6% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 5.7% | 21.8% | 24.9% | 20.8% | 14.1% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Colin Hexter | 8.0% | 30.2% | 26.2% | 18.5% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Lily Rouget | 2.0% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 20.3% | 19.2% |
| Varoon Enjeti | 1.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 19.7% | 27.8% |
| Caroline Bielski | 1.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 17.4% |
| Jack Morby | 2.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 17.7% | 18.7% | 16.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.