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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.26+2.25vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.90+1.87vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.39+0.08vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.11+1.16vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.99-1.23vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.80-0.43vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania3.16-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25Georgetown University3.260.2%1st Place
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3.87U. S. Naval Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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3.08Georgetown University3.390.2%1st Place
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5.16Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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3.77U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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5.57Villanova University1.800.0%1st Place
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3.3University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Mason | 20.8% | 20.0% | 18.0% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 4.9% |
| Philip Youngberg | 12.3% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 18.6% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 7.9% |
| Peter Johns | 23.5% | 20.4% | 16.7% | 17.4% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 2.8% |
| Mia Cooper | 4.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 25.5% | 29.4% |
| Lukas Edegran | 12.8% | 16.8% | 17.9% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 7.4% |
| Andrew Sayre | 4.8% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 20.6% | 44.3% |
| Jack Swikart | 21.2% | 17.0% | 16.5% | 16.5% | 16.6% | 8.9% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.