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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.39+2.04vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.68vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.16+0.47vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.26-0.69vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.11+0.16vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.90-2.10vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.80-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04Georgetown University3.390.2%1st Place
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3.68U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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3.47University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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3.31Georgetown University3.260.2%1st Place
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5.16Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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3.9U. S. Naval Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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5.44Villanova University1.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Johns | 24.3% | 21.0% | 18.5% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 3.2% |
| Lukas Edegran | 14.7% | 16.5% | 15.8% | 18.2% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 6.5% |
| Jack Swikart | 16.3% | 17.9% | 19.3% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 10.1% | 4.8% |
| Andrew Mason | 20.4% | 17.6% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 3.1% |
| Mia Cooper | 5.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 15.4% | 23.5% | 30.7% |
| Philip Youngberg | 13.7% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 18.6% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 8.9% |
| Andrew Sayre | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 19.8% | 42.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.