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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.40+0.28vs Predicted
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2Marquette University0.12+1.17vs Predicted
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3Lake Forest College-1.20+2.20vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.17-0.36vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-1.49+0.67vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-1.40-0.43vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.72-0.99vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-1.39-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.28University of Wisconsin2.4077.1%1st Place
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3.17Marquette University0.127.8%1st Place
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5.2Lake Forest College-1.202.0%1st Place
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3.64Michigan Technological University-0.175.7%1st Place
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5.67Purdue University-1.491.6%1st Place
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5.57University of Illinois-1.401.9%1st Place
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6.01Northwestern University-1.721.2%1st Place
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5.45Marquette University-1.392.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Spencer | 77.1% | 18.6% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Hexter | 7.8% | 30.9% | 25.7% | 17.4% | 11.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Wiktoria Pedryc | 2.0% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 17.3% | 12.4% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 5.7% | 20.9% | 25.2% | 19.9% | 14.8% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Lily Rouget | 1.6% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 18.4% | 18.8% | 21.2% |
| Jack Morby | 1.9% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 16.2% | 17.8% | 19.2% | 18.3% |
| Varoon Enjeti | 1.2% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 20.7% | 28.8% |
| Caroline Bielski | 2.7% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 16.0% | 18.1% | 17.8% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.