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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.40+0.26vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-0.17+1.65vs Predicted
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3Lake Forest College-1.20+2.13vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-1.40+1.52vs Predicted
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5Marquette University0.12-1.74vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-1.720.00vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-1.49-1.38vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-1.39-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.26University of Wisconsin2.4078.4%1st Place
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3.65Michigan Technological University-0.175.4%1st Place
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5.13Lake Forest College-1.202.1%1st Place
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5.52University of Illinois-1.401.6%1st Place
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3.26Marquette University0.128.0%1st Place
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6.0Northwestern University-1.721.4%1st Place
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5.62Purdue University-1.491.4%1st Place
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5.56Marquette University-1.391.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Spencer | 78.4% | 17.8% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 5.4% | 21.4% | 24.7% | 20.4% | 14.1% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Wiktoria Pedryc | 2.1% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 16.8% | 18.9% | 14.8% | 12.3% |
| Jack Morby | 1.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 17.2% | 18.3% | 18.9% |
| Colin Hexter | 8.0% | 28.4% | 24.9% | 19.1% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Varoon Enjeti | 1.4% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 21.1% | 28.6% |
| Lily Rouget | 1.4% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 17.9% | 19.3% | 20.5% |
| Caroline Bielski | 1.8% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 17.4% | 20.0% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.