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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+2.69vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.80+3.54vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.39+0.07vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.11+1.17vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.26-1.68vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania3.16-2.56vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.90-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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5.54Villanova University1.800.0%1st Place
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3.07Georgetown University3.390.2%1st Place
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5.17Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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3.32Georgetown University3.260.2%1st Place
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3.44University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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3.77U. S. Naval Academy2.900.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Edegran | 16.6% | 15.0% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 6.6% |
| Andrew Sayre | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 14.1% | 19.9% | 42.8% |
| Peter Johns | 22.0% | 21.1% | 19.7% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 7.4% | 2.5% |
| Mia Cooper | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 23.1% | 31.4% |
| Andrew Mason | 18.3% | 20.4% | 17.2% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 9.3% | 4.1% |
| Jack Swikart | 18.3% | 16.9% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 5.5% |
| Philip Youngberg | 15.7% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.