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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.39+2.02vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.11+3.10vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.90+0.87vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.26-0.68vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.16-1.49vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.80-0.42vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.99-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02Georgetown University3.390.3%1st Place
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5.1Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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3.87U. S. Naval Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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3.32Georgetown University3.260.2%1st Place
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3.51University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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5.58Villanova University1.800.0%1st Place
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3.6U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Johns | 25.1% | 20.3% | 18.3% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 3.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 23.4% | 29.1% |
| Philip Youngberg | 13.9% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 15.0% | 16.9% | 16.6% | 7.5% |
| Andrew Mason | 19.5% | 18.3% | 18.1% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 9.2% | 4.1% |
| Jack Swikart | 14.7% | 21.3% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 5.3% |
| Andrew Sayre | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 18.4% | 45.7% |
| Lukas Edegran | 16.7% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 17.4% | 11.9% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.