← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+5.38vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College1.48+5.03vs Predicted
-
3Boston University0.97+5.59vs Predicted
-
4Boston College1.95+1.74vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University1.24+3.02vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island1.20+2.06vs Predicted
-
7Brown University1.34+0.24vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University2.17-3.18vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University1.01-0.14vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University-0.79+4.27vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College0.70-0.94vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont0.72-2.35vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University1.18-5.18vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-4.63vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University1.26-6.66vs Predicted
-
16Williams College-0.90-0.98vs Predicted
-
17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.458.8%1st Place
-
7.03Bowdoin College1.487.2%1st Place
-
8.59Boston University0.974.7%1st Place
-
5.74Boston College1.9511.6%1st Place
-
8.02Roger Williams University1.246.2%1st Place
-
8.06University of Rhode Island1.205.9%1st Place
-
7.24Brown University1.347.8%1st Place
-
4.82Harvard University2.1715.3%1st Place
-
8.86Roger Williams University1.015.7%1st Place
-
14.27Salve Regina University-0.790.9%1st Place
-
10.06Dartmouth College0.702.5%1st Place
-
9.65University of Vermont0.724.4%1st Place
-
7.82Tufts University1.186.7%1st Place
-
9.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.725.0%1st Place
-
8.34Northeastern University1.265.5%1st Place
-
15.02Williams College-0.900.7%1st Place
-
13.7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.521.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Heitkoetter | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Max Sigel | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Grant Adam | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 15.3% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hosek | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 14.3% | 26.5% | 28.5% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Potter | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Sam Monaghan | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 11.7% | 20.6% | 46.1% |
| Marshall Rodes | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 16.5% | 25.6% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.