← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania3.16+2.41vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.68vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University2.11+2.14vs Predicted
-
4Villanova University1.80+1.59vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University3.26-1.67vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.90-2.11vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University3.39-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.41University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
-
3.68U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
-
5.14Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
-
5.59Villanova University1.800.0%1st Place
-
3.33Georgetown University3.260.2%1st Place
-
3.89U. S. Naval Academy2.900.1%1st Place
-
2.95Georgetown University3.390.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Swikart | 18.9% | 18.2% | 15.0% | 19.6% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 5.2% |
| Lukas Edegran | 14.0% | 14.8% | 20.1% | 15.6% | 17.4% | 11.8% | 6.3% |
| Mia Cooper | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 15.6% | 25.1% | 29.3% |
| Andrew Sayre | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 19.6% | 45.4% |
| Andrew Mason | 17.6% | 22.0% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 3.9% |
| Philip Youngberg | 13.5% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 7.8% |
| Peter Johns | 25.7% | 20.0% | 17.9% | 16.7% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.