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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+5.24vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.20+6.03vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.95+2.68vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.18+3.71vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.17-0.08vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+3.40vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.24+1.01vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.01+1.01vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.48-1.84vs Predicted
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10Williams College-0.90+5.08vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.26-2.49vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52+1.76vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-0.79+1.37vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.72-4.59vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College0.70-5.05vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.34-8.99vs Predicted
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17Boston University0.97-8.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.4510.6%1st Place
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8.03University of Rhode Island1.205.9%1st Place
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5.68Boston College1.9511.7%1st Place
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7.71Tufts University1.186.3%1st Place
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4.92Harvard University2.1714.0%1st Place
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9.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.724.5%1st Place
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8.01Roger Williams University1.246.5%1st Place
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9.01Roger Williams University1.014.5%1st Place
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7.16Bowdoin College1.487.4%1st Place
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15.08Williams College-0.900.7%1st Place
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8.51Northeastern University1.265.1%1st Place
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13.76University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.521.1%1st Place
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14.37Salve Regina University-0.790.9%1st Place
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9.41University of Vermont0.724.7%1st Place
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9.95Dartmouth College0.703.0%1st Place
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7.01Brown University1.347.8%1st Place
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8.75Boston University0.975.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Heitkoetter | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Max Sigel | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 11.7% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 14.0% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| William Bailey | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Luke Hosek | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 22.6% | 45.4% |
| Sam Monaghan | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Marshall Rodes | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 17.1% | 24.6% | 18.7% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 13.6% | 25.3% | 29.9% |
| Ryan Potter | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
| Grant Adam | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.