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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.95+4.72vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.34+5.03vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.20+5.03vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.01+5.06vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+1.21vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.18+2.03vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.24+1.08vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.48-0.97vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.17-4.19vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.72-0.45vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.97-2.32vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-2.69vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52+0.72vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.26-5.58vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College0.70-5.02vs Predicted
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16Williams College-0.90-1.04vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University-0.79-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.72Boston College1.9510.8%1st Place
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7.03Brown University1.347.7%1st Place
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8.03University of Rhode Island1.205.3%1st Place
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9.06Roger Williams University1.014.0%1st Place
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6.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.4511.0%1st Place
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8.03Tufts University1.186.1%1st Place
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8.08Roger Williams University1.246.5%1st Place
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7.03Bowdoin College1.487.8%1st Place
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4.81Harvard University2.1715.4%1st Place
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9.55University of Vermont0.724.5%1st Place
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8.68Boston University0.975.1%1st Place
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9.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.723.9%1st Place
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13.72University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.520.8%1st Place
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8.42Northeastern University1.265.1%1st Place
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9.98Dartmouth College0.704.8%1st Place
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14.96Williams College-0.900.8%1st Place
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14.36Salve Regina University-0.790.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Max Sigel | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Luke Hosek | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| William Bailey | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 15.4% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Potter | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Egeli | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Marshall Rodes | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 16.4% | 24.6% | 19.4% |
| Sam Monaghan | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 22.5% | 43.9% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 13.6% | 27.1% | 29.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.