← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.90+2.78vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University3.26+1.28vs Predicted
-
3Villanova University1.80+2.53vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University3.39-0.85vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania3.16-1.51vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University2.11-0.83vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy2.99-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.78U. S. Naval Academy2.900.2%1st Place
-
3.28Georgetown University3.260.2%1st Place
-
5.53Villanova University1.800.0%1st Place
-
3.15Georgetown University3.390.2%1st Place
-
3.49University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
-
5.17Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
-
3.6U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Youngberg | 15.3% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 18.6% | 13.4% | 7.8% |
| Andrew Mason | 18.6% | 20.3% | 18.8% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 3.9% |
| Andrew Sayre | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 21.7% | 43.0% |
| Peter Johns | 22.2% | 17.9% | 19.9% | 16.8% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 2.6% |
| Jack Swikart | 16.0% | 19.6% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 6.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 24.5% | 31.7% |
| Lukas Edegran | 17.5% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 17.5% | 12.3% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.