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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+5.16vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.95+3.71vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.17+1.74vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.18+3.89vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.34+2.13vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.97+2.89vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.48+0.14vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.20+0.10vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+0.41vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.26-1.51vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.01-2.03vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.24-3.87vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.87-3.91vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College0.70-3.95vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52-1.47vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.79-1.62vs Predicted
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17Williams College-0.90-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.459.7%1st Place
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5.71Boston College1.9512.3%1st Place
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4.74Harvard University2.1715.5%1st Place
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7.89Tufts University1.186.0%1st Place
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7.13Brown University1.347.0%1st Place
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8.89Boston University0.974.8%1st Place
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7.14Bowdoin College1.486.8%1st Place
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8.1University of Rhode Island1.206.2%1st Place
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9.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.723.9%1st Place
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8.49Northeastern University1.265.1%1st Place
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8.97Roger Williams University1.015.5%1st Place
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8.13Roger Williams University1.245.9%1st Place
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9.09University of Vermont0.875.2%1st Place
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10.05Dartmouth College0.703.5%1st Place
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13.53University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.521.5%1st Place
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14.38Salve Regina University-0.790.7%1st Place
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15.18Williams College-0.900.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Heitkoetter | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 15.5% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Grant Adam | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Max Sigel | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Egeli | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Sam Monaghan | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Luke Hosek | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| William Bailey | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Christian Cushman | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 1.3% |
| Marshall Rodes | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 17.8% | 24.2% | 17.3% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 14.3% | 26.8% | 28.4% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 10.1% | 21.4% | 48.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.