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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+2.63vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.26+1.27vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.16+0.44vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.39-0.88vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.11+0.21vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.80-0.42vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.90-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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3.27Georgetown University3.260.2%1st Place
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3.44University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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3.12Georgetown University3.390.2%1st Place
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5.21Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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5.58Villanova University1.800.0%1st Place
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3.74U. S. Naval Academy2.900.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Edegran | 16.0% | 17.7% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 11.8% | 7.6% |
| Andrew Mason | 18.3% | 20.7% | 19.7% | 16.0% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 4.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 18.4% | 16.9% | 16.9% | 17.9% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 4.7% |
| Peter Johns | 22.5% | 18.1% | 21.1% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 7.9% | 2.7% |
| Mia Cooper | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 25.8% | 31.0% |
| Andrew Sayre | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 20.1% | 44.2% |
| Philip Youngberg | 15.5% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 16.6% | 19.2% | 14.1% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.