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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+5.34vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.95+4.03vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.87+5.90vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.17+0.89vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.48+2.13vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.20+2.08vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.97+1.92vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.26+0.41vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.34-1.99vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.18-2.12vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.24-3.12vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.01-3.01vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College0.70-2.98vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52-0.37vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-5.58vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.79-1.48vs Predicted
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17Williams College-0.90-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.459.7%1st Place
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6.03Boston College1.9511.8%1st Place
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8.9University of Vermont0.874.1%1st Place
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4.89Harvard University2.1714.8%1st Place
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7.13Bowdoin College1.487.0%1st Place
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8.08University of Rhode Island1.206.2%1st Place
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8.92Boston University0.974.7%1st Place
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8.41Northeastern University1.265.0%1st Place
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7.01Brown University1.348.2%1st Place
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7.88Tufts University1.186.7%1st Place
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7.88Roger Williams University1.246.6%1st Place
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8.99Roger Williams University1.014.5%1st Place
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10.02Dartmouth College0.703.6%1st Place
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13.63University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.521.5%1st Place
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9.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.724.2%1st Place
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14.52Salve Regina University-0.790.9%1st Place
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14.97Williams College-0.900.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Heitkoetter | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 14.8% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Max Sigel | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Sam Monaghan | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Grant Adam | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Luke Hosek | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Marshall Rodes | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 17.6% | 24.0% | 18.9% |
| Tyler Egeli | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 13.6% | 26.2% | 31.6% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 10.6% | 23.5% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.