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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+5.34vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.17+2.87vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.18+4.85vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.87+5.03vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.26+3.42vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.48+1.11vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College0.70+2.97vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.24+0.13vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.20-0.80vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.95-4.20vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.34-3.92vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52+1.66vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-3.58vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.97-5.06vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.01-6.18vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.79-1.71vs Predicted
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17Williams College-0.90-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.4510.1%1st Place
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4.87Harvard University2.1714.3%1st Place
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7.85Tufts University1.186.0%1st Place
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9.03University of Vermont0.874.0%1st Place
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8.42Northeastern University1.265.9%1st Place
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7.11Bowdoin College1.487.5%1st Place
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9.97Dartmouth College0.703.8%1st Place
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8.13Roger Williams University1.245.9%1st Place
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8.2University of Rhode Island1.206.0%1st Place
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5.8Boston College1.9512.3%1st Place
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7.08Brown University1.347.6%1st Place
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13.66University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.521.1%1st Place
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9.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.724.1%1st Place
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8.94Boston University0.974.7%1st Place
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8.82Roger Williams University1.015.2%1st Place
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14.29Salve Regina University-0.790.8%1st Place
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15.09Williams College-0.900.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Heitkoetter | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 14.3% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Christian Cushman | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Sam Monaghan | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| William Bailey | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Max Sigel | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 12.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Marshall Rodes | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 16.2% | 25.3% | 19.4% |
| Tyler Egeli | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Luke Hosek | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 13.4% | 25.8% | 29.6% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 11.8% | 22.1% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.