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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.22+5.90vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.48+5.28vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.20+5.20vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+2.39vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.17-0.07vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+3.53vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.95-1.05vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.01+1.30vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.24-0.72vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.87-1.00vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.34-3.95vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College0.70-1.89vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52+0.65vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.18-6.03vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.97-6.05vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.79-1.72vs Predicted
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17Williams College-0.90-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.9Northeastern University1.228.6%1st Place
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7.28Bowdoin College1.487.6%1st Place
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8.2University of Rhode Island1.206.2%1st Place
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6.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.459.2%1st Place
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4.93Harvard University2.1714.1%1st Place
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9.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.723.9%1st Place
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5.95Boston College1.9510.8%1st Place
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9.3Roger Williams University1.013.5%1st Place
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8.28Roger Williams University1.246.0%1st Place
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9.0University of Vermont0.875.0%1st Place
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7.05Brown University1.347.8%1st Place
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10.11Dartmouth College0.703.9%1st Place
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13.65University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.521.0%1st Place
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7.97Tufts University1.186.2%1st Place
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8.95Boston University0.975.1%1st Place
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14.28Salve Regina University-0.790.8%1st Place
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15.23Williams College-0.900.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Max Sigel | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 14.1% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Luke Hosek | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| William Bailey | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Christian Cushman | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Grant Adam | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 1.4% |
| Marshall Rodes | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 18.9% | 24.9% | 17.2% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 14.0% | 26.7% | 28.8% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 9.9% | 22.1% | 47.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.