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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.34+6.14vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.20+6.20vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.95+3.02vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+2.27vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.24+3.55vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52+7.72vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.79+7.44vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.17-3.10vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.48-1.82vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.18-2.03vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.97-1.96vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.22-5.14vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College0.70-3.04vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.01-4.82vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-5.59vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.87-6.95vs Predicted
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17Williams College-0.90-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.14Brown University1.347.7%1st Place
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8.2University of Rhode Island1.205.7%1st Place
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6.02Boston College1.9510.5%1st Place
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6.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.459.7%1st Place
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8.55Roger Williams University1.245.1%1st Place
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13.72University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.520.9%1st Place
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14.44Salve Regina University-0.790.6%1st Place
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4.9Harvard University2.1714.6%1st Place
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7.18Bowdoin College1.488.1%1st Place
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7.97Tufts University1.186.6%1st Place
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9.04Boston University0.974.5%1st Place
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6.86Northeastern University1.229.2%1st Place
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9.96Dartmouth College0.704.0%1st Place
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9.18Roger Williams University1.014.2%1st Place
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9.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.724.2%1st Place
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9.05University of Vermont0.873.9%1st Place
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15.11Williams College-0.900.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Adam | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Max Sigel | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Marshall Rodes | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 19.1% | 25.1% | 18.7% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 12.2% | 27.7% | 29.8% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 14.6% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 1.3% |
| Luke Hosek | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Egeli | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 0.6% |
| Christian Cushman | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 11.4% | 21.3% | 45.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.