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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+5.51vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.24+6.18vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.95+3.10vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.17+0.92vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+4.58vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.20+2.29vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College0.70+3.07vs Predicted
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8Williams College-0.90+7.02vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.87+0.07vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.97-1.02vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.48-3.86vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.34-4.91vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52+0.60vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.79+0.34vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.18-6.94vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.22-8.99vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.01-7.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.459.8%1st Place
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8.18Roger Williams University1.246.0%1st Place
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6.1Boston College1.9510.3%1st Place
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4.92Harvard University2.1714.8%1st Place
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9.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.723.6%1st Place
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8.29University of Rhode Island1.205.5%1st Place
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10.07Dartmouth College0.703.2%1st Place
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15.02Williams College-0.900.6%1st Place
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9.07University of Vermont0.875.2%1st Place
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8.98Boston University0.975.1%1st Place
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7.14Bowdoin College1.487.1%1st Place
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7.09Brown University1.348.5%1st Place
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13.6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.520.9%1st Place
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14.34Salve Regina University-0.790.9%1st Place
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8.06Tufts University1.186.4%1st Place
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7.01Northeastern University1.227.5%1st Place
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9.04Roger Williams University1.014.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Heitkoetter | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Bailey | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 14.8% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Max Sigel | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 10.5% | 21.2% | 45.6% |
| Christian Cushman | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Marshall Rodes | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 17.7% | 22.4% | 19.4% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 13.2% | 26.9% | 28.9% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Luke Hosek | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.