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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.60+3.74vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.06+4.38vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.96+3.77vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+3.46vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.48+3.17vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+3.12vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.33-1.31vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.35+1.34vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.05-2.35vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College0.18-0.34vs Predicted
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11Harvard University-0.20-0.23vs Predicted
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12Brown University0.33-2.71vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College0.73-5.47vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.46-4.66vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-0.93-1.62vs Predicted
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16Williams College-0.90-2.05vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.53-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74Boston College1.6016.6%1st Place
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6.38University of Vermont1.069.2%1st Place
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6.77Tufts University0.968.5%1st Place
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7.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.817.1%1st Place
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8.17Boston University0.484.9%1st Place
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9.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.335.0%1st Place
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5.69University of Rhode Island1.3311.1%1st Place
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9.34Roger Williams University0.354.0%1st Place
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6.65University of Vermont1.059.3%1st Place
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9.66Dartmouth College0.183.8%1st Place
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10.77Harvard University-0.203.3%1st Place
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9.29Brown University0.334.0%1st Place
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7.53Bowdoin College0.736.8%1st Place
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9.34Northeastern University0.464.2%1st Place
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13.38Salve Regina University-0.930.9%1st Place
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13.95Williams College-0.900.9%1st Place
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14.76University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.530.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan McGauley | 16.6% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Marina Garrido | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma Wang | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| William Wiegand | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Zachary Severson | 11.1% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Yasar Akin | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 3.6% |
| Keller Morrison | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Shea McGrath | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Boni | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 20.9% | 18.4% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 13.2% | 22.5% | 27.1% |
| Angelina Papa | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 20.4% | 44.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.