← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+8.12vs Predicted
-
2Boston College1.60+2.87vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+4.30vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University0.35+5.23vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island1.33+0.59vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College0.18+3.86vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont1.05-0.34vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University-0.93+5.22vs Predicted
-
9Boston University0.48-0.70vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University0.46-0.70vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University-0.20-0.23vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont1.06-5.61vs Predicted
-
13Williams College-0.90+0.82vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University0.96-7.32vs Predicted
-
15Brown University0.33-5.66vs Predicted
-
16Bowdoin College0.73-8.28vs Predicted
-
17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.53-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.334.2%1st Place
-
4.87Boston College1.6015.1%1st Place
-
7.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.818.2%1st Place
-
9.23Roger Williams University0.354.6%1st Place
-
5.59University of Rhode Island1.3312.0%1st Place
-
9.86Dartmouth College0.183.6%1st Place
-
6.66University of Vermont1.057.8%1st Place
-
13.22Salve Regina University-0.931.2%1st Place
-
8.3Boston University0.485.5%1st Place
-
9.3Northeastern University0.465.0%1st Place
-
10.77Harvard University-0.202.9%1st Place
-
6.39University of Vermont1.069.8%1st Place
-
13.82Williams College-0.900.8%1st Place
-
6.68Tufts University0.968.6%1st Place
-
9.34Brown University0.334.2%1st Place
-
7.72Bowdoin College0.736.0%1st Place
-
14.84University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.530.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Brooksbank | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Ryan McGauley | 15.1% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Wang | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Yasar Akin | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Zachary Severson | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 14.8% | 20.9% | 18.4% |
| William Wiegand | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Aidan Boni | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 3.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 23.4% | 26.4% |
| Marina Garrido | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Keller Morrison | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Shea McGrath | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Angelina Papa | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 19.2% | 45.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.