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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.96+5.90vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+5.42vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University0.35+6.26vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.60+0.70vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.33+4.21vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+2.96vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.06-0.64vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.33-2.37vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College0.18+0.98vs Predicted
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10Harvard University-0.20+0.80vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.73-3.37vs Predicted
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12Williams College-0.90+1.94vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.46-3.53vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.05-7.23vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-0.93-1.83vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.48-7.85vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.53-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.9Tufts University0.968.6%1st Place
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7.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.816.7%1st Place
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9.26Roger Williams University0.354.5%1st Place
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4.7Boston College1.6017.1%1st Place
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9.21Brown University0.334.9%1st Place
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8.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.334.2%1st Place
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6.36University of Vermont1.069.4%1st Place
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5.63University of Rhode Island1.3313.2%1st Place
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9.98Dartmouth College0.182.7%1st Place
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10.8Harvard University-0.202.8%1st Place
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7.63Bowdoin College0.736.7%1st Place
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13.94Williams College-0.901.1%1st Place
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9.47Northeastern University0.464.0%1st Place
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6.77University of Vermont1.057.4%1st Place
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13.17Salve Regina University-0.931.4%1st Place
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8.15Boston University0.484.9%1st Place
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14.68University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.530.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Garrido | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emma Wang | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Yasar Akin | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Ryan McGauley | 17.1% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Keller Morrison | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Ethan Burt | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Severson | 13.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 1.5% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 3.8% |
| Shea McGrath | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 22.9% | 26.7% |
| Aidan Boni | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 20.8% | 18.3% |
| William Wiegand | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Angelina Papa | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 19.1% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.