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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.06+5.39vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.05+4.58vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+4.37vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.60+0.80vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.73+2.75vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.33+3.38vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.96-0.18vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.48+0.14vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+0.06vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.33-4.37vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.46-1.52vs Predicted
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12Harvard University-0.20-1.05vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.35-3.92vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College0.18-4.20vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-0.93-1.87vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.53-1.33vs Predicted
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17Williams College-0.90-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.39University of Vermont1.068.7%1st Place
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6.58University of Vermont1.058.9%1st Place
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7.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.816.6%1st Place
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4.8Boston College1.6015.7%1st Place
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7.75Bowdoin College0.736.9%1st Place
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9.38Brown University0.334.0%1st Place
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6.82Tufts University0.967.8%1st Place
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8.14Boston University0.485.9%1st Place
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9.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.334.8%1st Place
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5.63University of Rhode Island1.3311.7%1st Place
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9.48Northeastern University0.464.0%1st Place
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10.95Harvard University-0.203.2%1st Place
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9.08Roger Williams University0.354.5%1st Place
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9.8Dartmouth College0.183.8%1st Place
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13.13Salve Regina University-0.931.9%1st Place
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14.67University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.530.8%1st Place
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13.96Williams College-0.901.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Burt | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Wang | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ryan McGauley | 15.7% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shea McGrath | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Keller Morrison | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Marina Garrido | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Wiegand | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Zachary Severson | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boni | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 5.1% |
| Yasar Akin | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 1.9% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 20.0% | 17.8% |
| Angelina Papa | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 10.5% | 20.5% | 41.7% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 13.1% | 22.8% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.