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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+6.41vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.60+2.84vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.46+6.45vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.96+2.69vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.05+1.49vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+2.97vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.33+2.39vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.06-1.49vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.33-3.38vs Predicted
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10Harvard University-0.20+0.77vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.73-3.41vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.48-3.87vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.35-3.92vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College0.18-4.05vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-0.93-1.64vs Predicted
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16Williams College-0.90-2.09vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.53-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.817.4%1st Place
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4.84Boston College1.6014.3%1st Place
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9.45Northeastern University0.463.1%1st Place
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6.69Tufts University0.968.6%1st Place
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6.49University of Vermont1.058.8%1st Place
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8.97Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.335.4%1st Place
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9.39Brown University0.334.2%1st Place
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6.51University of Vermont1.069.2%1st Place
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5.62University of Rhode Island1.3311.7%1st Place
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10.77Harvard University-0.202.6%1st Place
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7.59Bowdoin College0.737.4%1st Place
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8.13Boston University0.486.2%1st Place
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9.08Roger Williams University0.354.6%1st Place
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9.95Dartmouth College0.183.7%1st Place
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13.36Salve Regina University-0.931.1%1st Place
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13.91Williams College-0.900.9%1st Place
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14.84University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.530.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Wang | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Ryan McGauley | 14.3% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boni | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Marina Garrido | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Keller Morrison | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Ethan Burt | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Severson | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 3.9% |
| Shea McGrath | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| William Wiegand | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Yasar Akin | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 15.7% | 21.7% | 18.1% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 15.0% | 23.9% | 24.9% |
| Angelina Papa | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 18.5% | 45.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.