← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College1.60+3.85vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont1.05+4.63vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont1.06+3.37vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College0.73+3.80vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+2.38vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island1.33-0.57vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University0.46+2.53vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University0.35+1.10vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University-0.20+1.89vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College0.18-0.22vs Predicted
-
11Brown University0.33-1.91vs Predicted
-
12Boston University0.48-3.91vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-3.80vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University-0.93-0.56vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University0.96-8.17vs Predicted
-
16Williams College-0.90-2.13vs Predicted
-
17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.53-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.85Boston College1.6015.3%1st Place
-
6.63University of Vermont1.059.9%1st Place
-
6.37University of Vermont1.069.6%1st Place
-
7.8Bowdoin College0.736.0%1st Place
-
7.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.816.5%1st Place
-
5.43University of Rhode Island1.3312.4%1st Place
-
9.53Northeastern University0.464.2%1st Place
-
9.1Roger Williams University0.354.4%1st Place
-
10.89Harvard University-0.202.8%1st Place
-
9.78Dartmouth College0.183.5%1st Place
-
9.09Brown University0.333.9%1st Place
-
8.09Boston University0.485.7%1st Place
-
9.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.334.2%1st Place
-
13.44Salve Regina University-0.931.2%1st Place
-
6.83Tufts University0.968.6%1st Place
-
13.87Williams College-0.901.3%1st Place
-
14.71University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.530.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan McGauley | 15.3% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Burt | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Shea McGrath | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Emma Wang | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Severson | 12.4% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boni | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Yasar Akin | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 3.9% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Keller Morrison | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| William Wiegand | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 16.1% | 22.9% | 17.9% |
| Marina Garrido | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 23.4% | 27.2% |
| Angelina Papa | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 20.0% | 43.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.