← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College1.60+3.96vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+5.62vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College0.73+4.87vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University-0.20+7.00vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont1.05+1.76vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+3.32vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College0.18+2.83vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University1.18-1.28vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University0.96-2.23vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island1.33-4.24vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University0.35-1.72vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont1.06-5.55vs Predicted
-
13Boston University0.48-4.64vs Predicted
-
14Brown University0.33-4.53vs Predicted
-
15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.04+0.61vs Predicted
-
16Williams College-0.90-2.15vs Predicted
-
17Salve Regina University-0.93-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.96Boston College1.6015.6%1st Place
-
7.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.815.9%1st Place
-
7.87Bowdoin College0.735.8%1st Place
-
11.0Harvard University-0.203.0%1st Place
-
6.76University of Vermont1.057.6%1st Place
-
9.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.334.0%1st Place
-
9.83Dartmouth College0.183.8%1st Place
-
6.72Northeastern University1.189.4%1st Place
-
6.77Tufts University0.967.8%1st Place
-
5.76University of Rhode Island1.3312.6%1st Place
-
9.28Roger Williams University0.353.4%1st Place
-
6.45University of Vermont1.069.4%1st Place
-
8.36Boston University0.485.3%1st Place
-
9.47Brown University0.334.2%1st Place
-
15.61University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.040.4%1st Place
-
13.85Williams College-0.900.9%1st Place
-
13.36Salve Regina University-0.930.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan McGauley | 15.6% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Wang | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Shea McGrath | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 3.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 1.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Marina Garrido | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Severson | 12.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Yasar Akin | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Ethan Burt | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Wiegand | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Keller Morrison | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Iain Gillespie | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 15.8% | 60.1% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 27.3% | 20.1% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 17.2% | 25.6% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.