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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.55+9.04vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.70+7.42vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+4.98vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.71+1.22vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.69+4.12vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+0.02vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.78+1.83vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+0.24vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.19-1.90vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.56+0.07vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.83-2.21vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.16-0.19vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-0.37vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.18-2.94vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.48-1.06vs Predicted
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16Cornell University3.27-4.88vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.13-5.24vs Predicted
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18University of Miami3.99-10.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.04Boston College3.550.0%1st Place
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9.42Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
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7.98St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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5.22Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.12Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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6.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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8.83Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.1Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.07Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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8.79U. S. Naval Academy3.830.1%1st Place
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11.81Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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12.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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11.06Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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13.94Northeastern University2.480.0%1st Place
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11.12Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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11.76Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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7.85University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mullins | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% |
| Brady Stagg | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Alec Anderson | 14.2% | 15.4% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Judge Ryan | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Samuel Blouin | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Joseph Morris | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Alex Ramos | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
| Gram Slattery | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.8% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 17.6% |
| John Renehan | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% |
| Becker Awqatty | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 14.0% | 29.6% |
| Philip Alley | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 7.2% |
| Trevor Burd | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.6% |
| Nicholas Voss | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.