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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami3.99+7.22vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.19+5.38vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+3.19vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.69+5.13vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.71+0.29vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+6.82vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.16+4.45vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.70+1.15vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.83-0.45vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.13+1.83vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-2.54vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-3.81vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.78-4.31vs Predicted
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14Cornell University3.27-3.34vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.56-5.20vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.55-6.07vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.18-5.57vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.48-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.22University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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7.38Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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6.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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9.13Brown University3.690.0%1st Place
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5.29Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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12.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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11.45Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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9.15Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.55U. S. Naval Academy3.830.1%1st Place
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11.83Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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8.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.19St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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8.69Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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10.66Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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9.8Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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9.93Boston College3.550.0%1st Place
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11.43Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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13.84Northeastern University2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Voss | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Blouin | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Judge Ryan | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 15.0% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 18.0% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% |
| Brady Stagg | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Alex Ramos | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Trevor Burd | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 11.1% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Fletcher Sims | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Philip Alley | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
| Ryan Mullins | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% |
| John Renehan | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% |
| Becker Awqatty | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 28.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.