← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College1.60+3.98vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College0.73+5.74vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island1.33+2.74vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont1.06+2.50vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University-0.20+5.87vs Predicted
-
6Boston University0.48+2.57vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College0.18+2.93vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University1.18-1.13vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University0.35+0.37vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont1.05-3.30vs Predicted
-
11Brown University0.33-1.57vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-4.43vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University0.96-6.12vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-4.90vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University-0.93-1.72vs Predicted
-
16Williams College-0.90-2.11vs Predicted
-
17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.04-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.98Boston College1.6015.3%1st Place
-
7.74Bowdoin College0.736.8%1st Place
-
5.74University of Rhode Island1.3311.1%1st Place
-
6.5University of Vermont1.068.1%1st Place
-
10.87Harvard University-0.203.0%1st Place
-
8.57Boston University0.485.2%1st Place
-
9.93Dartmouth College0.183.4%1st Place
-
6.87Northeastern University1.188.0%1st Place
-
9.37Roger Williams University0.354.9%1st Place
-
6.7University of Vermont1.058.2%1st Place
-
9.43Brown University0.334.0%1st Place
-
7.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.816.2%1st Place
-
6.88Tufts University0.968.0%1st Place
-
9.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.335.1%1st Place
-
13.28Salve Regina University-0.931.6%1st Place
-
13.89Williams College-0.900.9%1st Place
-
15.59University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.040.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan McGauley | 15.3% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shea McGrath | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Severson | 11.1% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 2.5% |
| William Wiegand | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Yasar Akin | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Keller Morrison | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Emma Wang | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Marina Garrido | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 18.4% | 22.2% | 14.2% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 15.2% | 28.1% | 19.2% |
| Iain Gillespie | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 7.5% | 16.9% | 59.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.