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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+6.58vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University0.35+7.32vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.06+3.44vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18+2.44vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.05+1.73vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.60-1.06vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.48+1.50vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.04+7.60vs Predicted
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9Brown University0.33+0.45vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.33-4.29vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.96-4.12vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-2.80vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College0.73-5.03vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College0.18-4.06vs Predicted
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15Harvard University-0.20-3.97vs Predicted
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16Williams College-0.90-2.03vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University-0.93-3.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.816.7%1st Place
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9.32Roger Williams University0.354.6%1st Place
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6.44University of Vermont1.0610.2%1st Place
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6.44Northeastern University1.188.6%1st Place
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6.73University of Vermont1.057.8%1st Place
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4.94Boston College1.6014.4%1st Place
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8.5Boston University0.485.9%1st Place
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15.6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.040.4%1st Place
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9.45Brown University0.334.5%1st Place
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5.71University of Rhode Island1.3310.0%1st Place
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6.88Tufts University0.967.4%1st Place
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9.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.334.3%1st Place
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7.97Bowdoin College0.736.4%1st Place
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9.94Dartmouth College0.183.8%1st Place
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11.03Harvard University-0.202.7%1st Place
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13.97Williams College-0.901.1%1st Place
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13.31Salve Regina University-0.931.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Wang | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Yasar Akin | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Ethan Burt | 10.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan McGauley | 14.4% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| William Wiegand | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Iain Gillespie | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 16.4% | 59.0% |
| Keller Morrison | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Zachary Severson | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Shea McGrath | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 2.9% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 27.0% | 20.1% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 17.3% | 23.3% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.