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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+5.31vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+6.56vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.70+6.51vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.83+4.52vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.55+4.74vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.69+3.21vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.78+1.83vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University4.71-2.76vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.18+2.35vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.16+1.70vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.19-3.68vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-3.86vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-0.34vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.13-2.72vs Predicted
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15University of Miami3.99-7.08vs Predicted
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16Cornell University3.27-4.93vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.48-2.90vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.56-8.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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8.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
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9.51Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
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8.52U. S. Naval Academy3.830.1%1st Place
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9.74Boston College3.550.0%1st Place
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9.21Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.83Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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5.24Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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11.35Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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11.7Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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7.32Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.14St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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12.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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11.28Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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7.92University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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11.07Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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14.1Northeastern University2.480.0%1st Place
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9.55Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Blouin | 9.8% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Brady Stagg | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Alex Ramos | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Ryan Mullins | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% |
| Judge Ryan | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| Alec Anderson | 14.8% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Renehan | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.5% |
| Joseph Morris | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 17.7% |
| Trevor Burd | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.3% |
| Nicholas Voss | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Philip Alley | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 7.0% |
| Becker Awqatty | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 31.5% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.