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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nilah Miller 31.6% 25.1% 17.5% 11.5% 6.2% 4.2% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Jack Houseal 8.5% 8.5% 9.5% 10.5% 12.8% 11.5% 11.6% 11.1% 8.6% 5.1% 2.3% 0.1%
John Cole McGee 11.8% 12.9% 14.6% 13.4% 13.7% 10.5% 9.7% 6.7% 4.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Rowan Barnes 13.7% 13.1% 13.8% 14.1% 13.0% 11.9% 8.5% 6.9% 2.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
May Proctor 8.6% 10.7% 10.1% 11.7% 11.8% 12.2% 11.8% 10.0% 7.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.1%
Emma Pope 1.1% 1.1% 1.6% 1.8% 2.2% 2.8% 4.2% 5.5% 9.1% 13.0% 20.8% 36.9%
Kate Pierce 1.1% 1.4% 2.1% 3.0% 3.1% 4.0% 4.9% 6.9% 10.4% 15.5% 22.0% 25.7%
Christopher Lucyk 10.8% 11.0% 12.2% 12.5% 11.2% 12.2% 10.0% 10.4% 5.5% 2.7% 1.2% 0.3%
James Keller 1.8% 2.5% 2.9% 3.8% 4.2% 5.1% 7.5% 8.2% 13.3% 17.8% 18.6% 14.3%
Sarah Weese 4.7% 5.8% 6.7% 6.9% 8.5% 11.0% 11.9% 13.2% 12.6% 10.9% 5.9% 1.9%
Torin Stremlau 5.2% 6.3% 6.5% 8.2% 9.3% 9.4% 12.3% 12.6% 13.5% 9.7% 5.6% 1.4%
Gregory Gold 1.0% 1.8% 2.5% 2.6% 3.9% 5.2% 5.5% 7.7% 12.4% 17.2% 20.9% 19.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.