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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+5.27vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.71+3.40vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.83+5.90vs Predicted
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4University of Miami3.99+3.91vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.13+6.43vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+6.77vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.70+2.13vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.18+3.30vs Predicted
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9Cornell University3.27+2.03vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-1.35vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.56-1.04vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.55-1.81vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-5.31vs Predicted
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14Yale University4.19-7.04vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.78-6.25vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.69-6.71vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.16-5.46vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.48-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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5.4Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.9U. S. Naval Academy3.830.1%1st Place
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7.91University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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11.43Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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12.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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9.13Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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11.3Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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11.03Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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8.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.96Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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10.19Boston College3.550.0%1st Place
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7.69St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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6.96Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.75Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.29Brown University3.690.0%1st Place
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11.54Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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13.83Northeastern University2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Blouin | 10.1% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alec Anderson | 12.1% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alex Ramos | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Voss | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Trevor Burd | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 18.9% |
| Brady Stagg | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% |
| John Renehan | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.5% |
| Philip Alley | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 5.2% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% |
| Ryan Mullins | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Morris | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% |
| Judge Ryan | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.1% |
| Becker Awqatty | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 15.8% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.