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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
John Cole McGee 11.5% 12.8% 13.7% 12.7% 13.2% 11.6% 9.8% 7.9% 4.2% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Christopher Lucyk 10.0% 11.7% 12.7% 11.7% 12.2% 11.9% 10.3% 8.8% 6.7% 2.8% 1.0% 0.1%
Rowan Barnes 13.0% 13.1% 13.6% 14.7% 13.3% 11.7% 8.7% 5.3% 4.0% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Nilah Miller 31.1% 25.2% 17.5% 11.3% 7.1% 3.9% 2.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Jack Houseal 8.7% 8.3% 10.1% 11.2% 11.4% 12.2% 11.0% 10.1% 8.8% 5.9% 1.9% 0.4%
May Proctor 8.9% 9.2% 9.4% 11.8% 11.5% 13.2% 12.1% 10.7% 7.4% 4.0% 1.5% 0.3%
Sarah Weese 5.0% 6.1% 6.2% 7.7% 7.8% 9.9% 11.3% 12.4% 13.2% 10.8% 7.1% 2.4%
Kate Pierce 1.5% 1.3% 1.8% 2.1% 2.8% 3.1% 5.3% 6.6% 11.2% 16.4% 21.8% 26.2%
Torin Stremlau 5.3% 6.2% 8.2% 6.9% 9.9% 9.8% 10.8% 13.0% 13.0% 9.2% 5.8% 1.8%
Emma Pope 1.2% 1.6% 1.4% 3.0% 2.8% 3.2% 3.7% 5.3% 7.3% 12.4% 19.7% 38.3%
Gregory Gold 1.8% 1.9% 2.8% 2.9% 4.2% 4.2% 6.9% 9.3% 10.8% 17.3% 20.6% 17.2%
James Keller 1.9% 2.6% 2.7% 3.9% 3.8% 5.2% 7.9% 9.5% 13.0% 16.5% 19.9% 13.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.