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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.48+13.02vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.71+3.44vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.56+7.13vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.70+5.06vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.19+2.14vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.18+5.34vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.55+2.81vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.83+0.55vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-3.05vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.69-0.50vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-2.46vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.13-0.12vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.78-4.24vs Predicted
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14University of Miami3.99-6.25vs Predicted
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15Cornell University3.27-4.01vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.16-4.43vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-4.12vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-10.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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14.02Northeastern University2.480.0%1st Place
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5.44Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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10.13Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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9.06Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.14Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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11.34Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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9.81Boston College3.550.0%1st Place
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8.55U. S. Naval Academy3.830.1%1st Place
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5.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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9.5Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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11.88Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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8.76Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.75University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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10.99Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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11.57Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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12.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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7.67St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Becker Awqatty | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 31.3% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Brady Stagg | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Joseph Morris | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| John Renehan | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 6.5% |
| Ryan Mullins | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% |
| Alex Ramos | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Samuel Blouin | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Judge Ryan | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% |
| Trevor Burd | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Voss | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Philip Alley | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 18.8% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.