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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+7.03vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+4.14vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.19+4.38vs Predicted
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4Cornell University3.27+6.87vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.71+0.26vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+6.80vs Predicted
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7University of Miami3.99+1.01vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.16+3.41vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.78-0.23vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.69-0.48vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.13+0.72vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.83-3.02vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-4.75vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.56-4.51vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.18-3.68vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.70-6.76vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.55-7.03vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.48-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.03St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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6.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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7.38Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.87Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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5.26Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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12.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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8.01University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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11.41Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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8.77Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.52Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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11.72Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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8.98U. S. Naval Academy3.830.1%1st Place
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8.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.49Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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11.32Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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9.24Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
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9.97Boston College3.550.0%1st Place
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13.82Northeastern University2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fletcher Sims | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Blouin | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Morris | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Philip Alley | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% |
| Alec Anderson | 15.9% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 18.5% |
| Nicholas Voss | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Judge Ryan | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Trevor Burd | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.8% |
| Alex Ramos | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% |
| John Renehan | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% |
| Brady Stagg | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Ryan Mullins | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Becker Awqatty | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 15.1% | 26.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.