← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+5.29vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+6.60vs Predicted
-
3Yale University4.19+4.35vs Predicted
-
4Boston College3.55+5.68vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University3.70+4.12vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy3.83+2.64vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College3.18+4.33vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University4.71-2.81vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University3.56+0.72vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University3.27+1.30vs Predicted
-
11University of Miami3.99-2.87vs Predicted
-
12Brown University3.69-2.40vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University3.16-1.65vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-1.56vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College3.78-6.22vs Predicted
-
16Boston University3.13-4.34vs Predicted
-
17St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-9.05vs Predicted
-
18Northeastern University2.48-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
-
8.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
-
7.35Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
-
9.68Boston College3.550.0%1st Place
-
9.12Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
-
8.64U. S. Naval Academy3.830.1%1st Place
-
11.33Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
-
5.19Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
-
9.72Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
-
11.3Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
-
8.13University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
-
9.6Brown University3.690.0%1st Place
-
11.35Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
-
12.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
-
8.78Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
-
11.66Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
-
7.95St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
-
13.88Northeastern University2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Blouin | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Sommer | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Joseph Morris | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Mullins | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% |
| Brady Stagg | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Alex Ramos | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| John Renehan | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.7% |
| Alec Anderson | 15.1% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Philip Alley | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% |
| Nicholas Voss | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Judge Ryan | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 16.6% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Trevor Burd | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 9.7% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Becker Awqatty | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 28.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.