Race 1A

erau-greg-popp

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Heidi Hicks 13.1% 13.1% 14.5% 13.8% 13.2% 11.2% 9.0% 7.2% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Hank Seum 31.8% 23.2% 17.7% 12.5% 6.8% 5.3% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Carter Morin 10.5% 13.4% 14.3% 13.6% 13.0% 12.0% 10.0% 6.5% 4.2% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Fiona Froelich 14.6% 16.0% 15.1% 15.7% 13.1% 9.7% 7.5% 4.6% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Zechariah Frantz 4.2% 5.5% 5.9% 6.9% 7.8% 10.2% 11.8% 14.5% 13.4% 11.8% 6.3% 1.7%
Jackson McGeough 7.0% 7.1% 7.8% 8.7% 11.2% 11.1% 12.7% 13.4% 10.8% 6.2% 3.3% 0.8%
KA Hamner 7.0% 8.2% 8.8% 10.3% 11.1% 11.8% 13.2% 12.2% 10.7% 4.7% 2.0% 0.2%
Charlie Eckert 6.1% 6.8% 7.1% 8.6% 12.8% 11.7% 12.8% 11.9% 10.9% 7.3% 3.1% 0.7%
Timothy Dolan 1.1% 1.3% 1.6% 1.8% 2.0% 3.5% 4.8% 6.2% 10.5% 18.2% 28.9% 20.2%
Rylie Cataldo 1.8% 2.1% 1.9% 2.9% 3.1% 4.5% 6.2% 7.0% 12.9% 20.0% 24.4% 13.1%
Ayden Feria 2.4% 2.9% 4.2% 4.3% 5.1% 7.3% 8.5% 12.6% 15.7% 18.5% 13.2% 5.3%
Riley Elkins 0.4% 0.3% 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 1.7% 2.1% 3.1% 4.9% 8.8% 17.8% 58.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.