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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.83+7.84vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.19+5.40vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+3.19vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+4.26vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.69+4.15vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.18+5.40vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.70+2.27vs Predicted
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8University of Miami3.99-0.06vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University4.71-3.80vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.78-0.86vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.16+0.56vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.56-1.86vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-0.40vs Predicted
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14Cornell University3.27-3.31vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.13-3.44vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-8.10vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.48-2.91vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.55-8.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.84U. S. Naval Academy3.830.1%1st Place
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7.4Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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6.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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8.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.15Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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11.4Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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9.27Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.94University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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5.2Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.14Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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11.56Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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10.14Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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12.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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10.69Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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11.56Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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7.9St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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14.09Northeastern University2.480.0%1st Place
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9.64Boston College3.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Ramos | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Blouin | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Judge Ryan | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| John Renehan | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% |
| Brady Stagg | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Nicholas Voss | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Alec Anderson | 14.7% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.3% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 17.1% |
| Philip Alley | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 5.7% |
| Trevor Burd | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% |
| Fletcher Sims | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Becker Awqatty | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 15.2% | 30.7% |
| Ryan Mullins | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.