Race 2A

erau-greg-popp

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Hank Seum 31.4% 22.9% 17.8% 11.7% 8.0% 4.5% 2.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Fiona Froelich 15.2% 16.1% 16.2% 13.8% 12.3% 9.2% 8.4% 5.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Carter Morin 12.3% 11.2% 14.0% 13.4% 12.8% 13.1% 9.3% 7.2% 3.9% 2.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Heidi Hicks 12.8% 14.4% 12.0% 14.1% 14.8% 10.5% 9.3% 7.0% 3.2% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Jackson McGeough 6.7% 7.8% 8.8% 8.3% 10.1% 12.2% 13.1% 12.9% 10.8% 6.2% 2.9% 0.3%
KA Hamner 6.8% 7.9% 9.1% 10.9% 11.6% 12.2% 12.3% 11.7% 9.9% 5.2% 2.1% 0.4%
Charlie Eckert 5.6% 6.8% 8.1% 10.4% 10.2% 11.9% 11.8% 12.8% 12.4% 7.0% 2.4% 0.7%
Timothy Dolan 1.0% 0.9% 1.7% 2.4% 2.7% 3.3% 3.8% 7.1% 10.0% 17.4% 30.1% 19.7%
Zechariah Frantz 3.8% 5.1% 6.1% 6.7% 8.5% 10.1% 13.5% 13.6% 14.1% 11.2% 5.8% 1.7%
Ayden Feria 2.5% 3.0% 3.7% 4.5% 5.3% 7.3% 7.7% 11.1% 15.2% 20.1% 14.1% 5.4%
Rylie Cataldo 1.7% 2.9% 1.8% 2.9% 2.7% 4.0% 6.6% 7.6% 12.8% 19.8% 24.2% 13.0%
Riley Elkins 0.4% 0.9% 0.5% 0.9% 1.1% 1.6% 2.1% 2.8% 5.0% 8.3% 17.6% 58.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.