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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+7.43vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.55+7.96vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.56+6.96vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.69+4.96vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.71+0.21vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.70+3.09vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.83+1.48vs Predicted
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8University of Miami3.99-0.20vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-3.11vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.78-1.00vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-3.21vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.16-0.31vs Predicted
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13Cornell University3.27-2.33vs Predicted
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14Yale University4.19-7.13vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.18-3.84vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-3.28vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.55-3.32vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.48-4.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.96Boston College3.550.0%1st Place
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9.96Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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8.96Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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5.21Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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9.09Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.48U. S. Naval Academy3.830.1%1st Place
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7.8University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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5.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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9.0Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.79St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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11.69Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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10.67Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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6.87Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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11.16Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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12.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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13.68Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
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13.63Northeastern University2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sommer | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Mullins | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Judge Ryan | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Alec Anderson | 16.4% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brady Stagg | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Alex Ramos | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Voss | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Blouin | 10.7% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| Gram Slattery | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.6% |
| Philip Alley | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% |
| Joseph Morris | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| John Renehan | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 15.8% |
| Conor Fowler | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 15.7% | 24.0% |
| Becker Awqatty | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 23.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.