Race 3A

erau-greg-popp

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Fiona Froelich 14.0% 16.0% 15.6% 15.5% 13.2% 10.0% 8.0% 4.6% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Hank Seum 33.5% 22.8% 16.6% 12.2% 7.6% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Carter Morin 12.1% 13.2% 13.0% 13.3% 14.8% 12.0% 9.2% 5.5% 4.3% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Jackson McGeough 6.3% 8.5% 8.1% 8.9% 10.8% 12.0% 12.6% 11.8% 10.2% 7.5% 2.9% 0.4%
Heidi Hicks 12.0% 12.7% 13.8% 13.5% 12.6% 11.3% 10.4% 6.9% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Charlie Eckert 5.5% 6.2% 8.6% 8.6% 9.8% 12.2% 13.0% 13.5% 11.1% 7.6% 3.5% 0.5%
Timothy Dolan 1.1% 1.7% 1.8% 2.4% 2.6% 3.1% 4.5% 6.8% 9.5% 16.0% 28.8% 21.9%
Zechariah Frantz 4.9% 5.3% 6.6% 7.1% 8.3% 9.9% 11.1% 13.7% 15.3% 10.7% 6.0% 1.2%
KA Hamner 6.3% 7.6% 8.8% 10.2% 11.2% 11.6% 11.6% 13.3% 10.5% 6.3% 1.9% 0.5%
Riley Elkins 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 1.8% 2.4% 3.1% 4.9% 8.3% 18.1% 57.4%
Ayden Feria 2.5% 3.4% 3.8% 4.7% 4.5% 6.2% 9.3% 11.4% 16.4% 19.1% 13.2% 5.4%
Rylie Cataldo 1.3% 2.1% 2.7% 2.6% 3.3% 5.7% 6.1% 8.8% 10.9% 19.2% 24.5% 12.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.