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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+4.38vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.69+7.32vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+4.95vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.78+4.62vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.70+4.00vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.19+1.09vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+1.26vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-2.05vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.18+2.22vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.48+4.00vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.16+0.47vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.83-3.14vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.56-3.51vs Predicted
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14Cornell University3.27-3.45vs Predicted
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15University of Miami3.99-7.17vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.55-6.22vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-4.22vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.55-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.32Brown University3.690.0%1st Place
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7.95St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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8.62Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.0Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.09Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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5.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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11.22Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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14.0Northeastern University2.480.0%1st Place
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11.47Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Naval Academy3.830.1%1st Place
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9.49Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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10.55Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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7.83University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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9.78Boston College3.550.0%1st Place
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12.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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13.44Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 13.8% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Fletcher Sims | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Brady Stagg | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Joseph Morris | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% |
| Samuel Blouin | 11.0% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Renehan | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% |
| Becker Awqatty | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 17.1% | 27.3% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% |
| Alex Ramos | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Philip Alley | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% |
| Nicholas Voss | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Mullins | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 14.9% |
| Conor Fowler | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.