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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.70+2.96vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College0.44+2.54vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.09+2.99vs Predicted
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4University of Central Florida-0.20+2.12vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.52-0.50vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-0.06-0.28vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.45-4.28vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-0.52-1.19vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-1.54-0.04vs Predicted
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10College of Coastal Georgia-2.70+0.92vs Predicted
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11University of Florida-1.04-2.88vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-1.83-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96Jacksonville University0.7015.9%1st Place
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4.54Eckerd College0.4412.4%1st Place
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5.99Rollins College0.095.7%1st Place
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6.12University of Central Florida-0.205.2%1st Place
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4.5University of South Florida0.5212.3%1st Place
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5.72Rollins College-0.067.0%1st Place
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2.72Jacksonville University1.4531.2%1st Place
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6.81Embry-Riddle University-0.524.7%1st Place
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8.96Embry-Riddle University-1.541.7%1st Place
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10.92College of Coastal Georgia-2.700.3%1st Place
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8.12University of Florida-1.042.5%1st Place
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9.65Embry-Riddle University-1.831.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiona Froelich | 15.9% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 12.4% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jackson McGeough | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Charlie Eckert | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Heidi Hicks | 12.3% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| KA Hamner | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Hank Seum | 31.2% | 24.1% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 1.0% |
| Rylie Cataldo | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 19.4% | 24.2% | 11.5% |
| Riley Elkins | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 9.8% | 17.2% | 59.1% |
| Ayden Feria | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 18.9% | 14.8% | 5.5% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 17.2% | 28.5% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.