← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University4.71+4.36vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.69+7.41vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami3.99+5.10vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+1.90vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.18+6.03vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+2.29vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+0.67vs Predicted
-
8Boston College3.55+1.59vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+3.68vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University3.27+1.10vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University3.70-1.81vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy3.83-3.07vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College3.78-4.44vs Predicted
-
14Yale University4.19-7.17vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University3.56-5.43vs Predicted
-
16Harvard University3.16-4.63vs Predicted
-
17Boston University2.55-3.27vs Predicted
-
18Northeastern University2.48-4.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.36Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
-
9.41Brown University3.690.0%1st Place
-
8.1University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
-
5.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
-
11.03Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
-
8.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
-
7.67St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
-
9.59Boston College3.550.0%1st Place
-
12.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
-
11.1Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
-
9.19Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
-
8.93U. S. Naval Academy3.830.1%1st Place
-
8.56Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
-
6.83Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
-
9.57Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
-
11.37Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
-
13.73Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
-
13.67Northeastern University2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 12.5% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Nicholas Voss | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Blouin | 12.6% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| John Renehan | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Mullins | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 14.9% |
| Philip Alley | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% |
| Brady Stagg | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% |
| Alex Ramos | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Joseph Morris | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Gram Slattery | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% |
| Conor Fowler | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 24.9% |
| Becker Awqatty | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 15.9% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.