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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Heidi Hicks 12.4% 12.8% 14.4% 15.2% 13.6% 11.3% 9.0% 5.7% 3.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Hank Seum 32.3% 22.9% 17.5% 11.8% 8.2% 4.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Carter Morin 11.7% 13.5% 13.4% 14.3% 13.2% 12.4% 8.2% 6.8% 4.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
Jackson McGeough 6.7% 7.1% 7.2% 10.2% 12.3% 10.9% 11.9% 12.2% 10.9% 7.0% 2.9% 0.5%
Fiona Froelich 15.7% 15.4% 16.0% 14.1% 12.2% 10.8% 7.3% 4.7% 2.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Zechariah Frantz 4.2% 5.2% 6.5% 5.6% 8.7% 10.3% 11.3% 13.4% 15.6% 12.3% 5.9% 0.9%
KA Hamner 6.3% 8.1% 8.5% 9.3% 11.2% 11.8% 13.9% 11.9% 10.4% 5.8% 2.1% 0.6%
Rylie Cataldo 2.1% 1.4% 2.2% 3.1% 3.1% 5.1% 5.5% 8.8% 11.3% 18.4% 25.7% 13.2%
Ayden Feria 2.1% 3.8% 4.0% 4.7% 4.5% 6.6% 10.1% 12.6% 15.5% 18.6% 13.1% 4.5%
Timothy Dolan 1.3% 1.5% 1.8% 1.5% 2.9% 3.0% 4.9% 7.0% 10.7% 16.9% 27.9% 20.8%
Charlie Eckert 4.9% 7.8% 7.8% 9.2% 8.9% 12.2% 14.1% 13.7% 10.3% 7.4% 3.5% 0.5%
Riley Elkins 0.4% 0.5% 0.7% 1.1% 1.1% 1.4% 2.1% 2.5% 4.9% 9.2% 17.6% 58.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.