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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.09+1.59vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.21+0.45vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-0.31+1.97vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.50-0.27vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University-0.80+0.85vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-1.35+1.06vs Predicted
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7University of Florida-0.83-1.08vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-1.54-0.66vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-1.68-1.32vs Predicted
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10University of Central Florida-2.33-1.10vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-2.74-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59Jacksonville University1.0928.9%1st Place
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2.45Eckerd College1.2132.4%1st Place
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4.97Jacksonville University-0.317.6%1st Place
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3.73University of South Florida0.5013.3%1st Place
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5.85Embry-Riddle University-0.804.5%1st Place
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7.06Rollins College-1.353.1%1st Place
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5.92University of Florida-0.834.9%1st Place
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7.34Embry-Riddle University-1.542.5%1st Place
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7.68Rollins College-1.681.6%1st Place
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8.9University of Central Florida-2.330.9%1st Place
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9.52Embry-Riddle University-2.740.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Knowles | 28.9% | 25.6% | 21.0% | 13.4% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Smith | 32.4% | 27.4% | 19.4% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Lansford | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Luke Justin | 13.3% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 18.6% | 15.6% | 10.0% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Cummings | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Harriss Thorne | 3.1% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 16.9% | 17.0% | 11.2% | 4.9% |
| Julien Waite | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Kathleen Perry | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 16.2% | 17.3% | 14.2% | 6.9% |
| Nora VanDerMeid | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 17.7% | 17.2% | 10.3% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 25.4% | 28.7% |
| Brandon Babey | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 20.4% | 46.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.