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📊 Prediction Accuracy
0.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+5.15vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+6.43vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.71+2.31vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.55+5.61vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.83+3.50vs Predicted
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6Cornell University3.27+4.88vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.69+2.12vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+4.53vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.18+2.26vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.19-2.66vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-3.17vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.70-2.57vs Predicted
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13University of Miami3.99-5.26vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.78-5.58vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.16-3.74vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.56-6.24vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.48-3.02vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.55-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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8.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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5.31Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.61Boston College3.550.0%1st Place
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8.5U. S. Naval Academy3.830.1%1st Place
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10.88Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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9.12Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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12.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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11.26Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.34Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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7.83St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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9.43Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
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7.74University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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8.42Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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11.26Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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9.76Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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13.98Northeastern University2.480.0%1st Place
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13.45Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Blouin | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Alec Anderson | 12.9% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mullins | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% |
| Alex Ramos | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Philip Alley | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% |
| Judge Ryan | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 15.1% |
| John Renehan | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 5.4% |
| Joseph Morris | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Fletcher Sims | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Brady Stagg | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Nicholas Voss | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Gram Slattery | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Becker Awqatty | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 27.7% |
| Conor Fowler | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.