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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami3.69+6.84vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.92vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.44+5.83vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55+0.68vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.91+1.81vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.97+4.49vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.30+2.15vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+1.27vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.37-0.14vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.64-1.92vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.48+4.17vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.25+3.93vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.00-2.77vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-6.34vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.95-8.37vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-8.98vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.09-3.31vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-5.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.84University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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7.92U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.83Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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4.68Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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6.81Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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10.49Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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9.15Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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9.27St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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8.86Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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8.08Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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15.17Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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15.93Northeastern University1.250.0%1st Place
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10.23Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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7.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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6.63Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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7.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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13.69Cornell University2.090.0%1st Place
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12.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Hernandez | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Michael Grove | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Peter Miller | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Graham Landy | 16.6% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Price | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| William Hutchings | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Adams | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ames Lyman | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 26.5% | 30.1% |
| Zach Shapiro | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 6.3% | 11.3% | 21.1% | 44.2% |
| Cameron Fraser | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Eamon Glackin | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| William Macdonald | 8.3% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Liem | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 18.8% | 19.7% | 10.9% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.