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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.21+1.39vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.50+1.64vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-0.31+1.96vs Predicted
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4Embry-Riddle University-0.80+1.75vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-1.35+2.13vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-1.54+1.37vs Predicted
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7Rollins College-1.68+0.75vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.09-5.44vs Predicted
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9University of Florida-0.83-2.94vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-2.74-0.51vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-2.33-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39Eckerd College1.2133.4%1st Place
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3.64University of South Florida0.5013.9%1st Place
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4.96Jacksonville University-0.317.4%1st Place
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5.75Embry-Riddle University-0.804.9%1st Place
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7.13Rollins College-1.352.3%1st Place
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7.37Embry-Riddle University-1.542.4%1st Place
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7.75Rollins College-1.681.4%1st Place
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2.56Jacksonville University1.0928.5%1st Place
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6.06University of Florida-0.834.3%1st Place
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9.49Embry-Riddle University-2.740.5%1st Place
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8.89University of Central Florida-2.330.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Smith | 33.4% | 26.3% | 20.8% | 10.9% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 13.9% | 17.3% | 19.2% | 18.4% | 14.8% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ella Lansford | 7.4% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 17.5% | 15.7% | 16.3% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Tanner Cummings | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Harriss Thorne | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.9% |
| Kathleen Perry | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 17.4% | 15.2% | 6.7% |
| Nora VanDerMeid | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 20.1% | 16.3% | 9.8% |
| Joshua Knowles | 28.5% | 27.9% | 18.6% | 14.8% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julien Waite | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Brandon Babey | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 21.1% | 45.7% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 24.6% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.