← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University4.55+3.84vs Predicted
-
2Connecticut College3.44+6.90vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University3.30+6.43vs Predicted
-
4Boston College3.91+2.79vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+4.27vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University3.37+2.96vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+0.84vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy3.67-0.31vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University3.95-2.45vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-2.81vs Predicted
-
11University of Miami3.69-3.19vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University1.48+3.43vs Predicted
-
13Boston University3.00-2.84vs Predicted
-
14Cornell University2.09-0.74vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College2.97-4.61vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-3.08vs Predicted
-
17Brown University3.64-8.97vs Predicted
-
18Northeastern University1.25-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.84Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
-
8.9Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
-
9.43Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
-
6.79Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
-
9.27St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
-
8.96Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
-
7.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
-
7.69U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
6.55Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
7.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
-
7.81University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
-
15.43Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
-
10.16Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
-
13.26Cornell University2.090.0%1st Place
-
10.39Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
-
12.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
-
8.03Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
-
15.55Northeastern University1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 16.0% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Miller | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| William Bowman | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| William Hutchings | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Eamon Glackin | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Michael Grove | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| William Macdonald | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Hernandez | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Ames Lyman | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 22.3% | 35.6% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Alexander Liem | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 11.2% |
| Christopher Price | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 7.7% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Zach Shapiro | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 11.9% | 22.3% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.