Race 6B

erau-greg-popp

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Morgan Smith 32.0% 25.0% 21.4% 11.5% 6.1% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Luke Justin 14.3% 18.0% 18.9% 17.8% 13.2% 9.2% 5.1% 2.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Julien Waite 3.8% 6.8% 6.6% 9.4% 12.6% 14.8% 15.6% 13.2% 10.1% 5.8% 1.4%
Joshua Knowles 30.8% 24.6% 20.2% 14.1% 7.2% 2.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Harriss Thorne 2.5% 2.9% 4.2% 6.1% 9.1% 11.3% 14.8% 15.7% 17.0% 11.6% 4.8%
Ella Lansford 7.5% 8.9% 11.1% 14.1% 16.4% 16.0% 12.2% 7.2% 5.0% 1.5% 0.1%
Tanner Cummings 3.7% 5.9% 8.2% 11.7% 13.8% 15.8% 15.0% 12.0% 9.3% 3.2% 1.2%
Kathleen Perry 1.5% 2.9% 3.5% 6.0% 8.7% 9.0% 12.4% 16.1% 17.2% 15.4% 7.1%
Nora VanDerMeid 2.4% 3.0% 3.0% 5.0% 7.4% 9.2% 11.4% 15.3% 16.7% 16.4% 10.2%
Joseph Mrazek 0.9% 1.4% 1.5% 2.5% 3.4% 5.9% 7.6% 10.5% 12.9% 24.9% 28.4%
Brandon Babey 0.5% 0.8% 1.2% 1.7% 2.2% 3.5% 4.4% 7.0% 11.1% 21.0% 46.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.