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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami3.69+6.85vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+6.09vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.91+3.99vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55+0.65vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+7.66vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.37+2.89vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.30+2.22vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.64-0.20vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+0.33vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.44-1.11vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.97-0.38vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.25+3.89vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.95-6.42vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.67-6.45vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.09-1.51vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-8.97vs Predicted
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17Harvard University1.48-1.72vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.00-7.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.85University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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8.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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6.99Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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4.65Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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12.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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8.89Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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9.22Old Dominion University3.300.1%1st Place
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7.8Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.33St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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8.89Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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10.62Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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15.89Northeastern University1.250.0%1st Place
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6.58Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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7.55U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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13.49Cornell University2.090.0%1st Place
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7.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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15.28Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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10.19Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Hernandez | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| William Bowman | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 16.9% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 6.8% |
| William Hutchings | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Lucas Adams | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Peter Miller | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Price | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Zach Shapiro | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 21.3% | 44.5% |
| William Macdonald | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Liem | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 11.9% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ames Lyman | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 12.8% | 25.9% | 30.6% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.