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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland-0.85+4.93vs Predicted
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2American University-1.01+4.36vs Predicted
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3Rutgers University-1.50+4.66vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.52+0.97vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.47-2.05vs Predicted
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6St. John's College-1.56+1.95vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.79-1.13vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.32-2.96vs Predicted
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9Unknown School-0.93-2.75vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-2.31-0.41vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-1.35-3.52vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University-1.55-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.93University of Maryland-0.859.4%1st Place
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6.36American University-1.017.5%1st Place
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7.66Rutgers University-1.503.6%1st Place
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4.97Virginia Tech-0.5212.0%1st Place
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2.95Drexel University0.4727.8%1st Place
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7.95St. John's College-1.563.5%1st Place
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5.87Princeton University-0.798.0%1st Place
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5.04Princeton University-0.3211.2%1st Place
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6.25Unknown School-0.937.8%1st Place
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9.59U. S. Military Academy-2.311.7%1st Place
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7.48University of Delaware-1.354.1%1st Place
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7.94Syracuse University-1.553.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Zagalsky | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Ryan Curtis | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Marlon Wool | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 10.8% |
| Matt Averyt | 12.0% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Iain Shand | 27.8% | 22.5% | 18.6% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Macaulay | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 13.2% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Carly Mraz | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 3.4% |
| Alyssa Lee | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 40.2% |
| Addie Perez | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.0% |
| Faith Otoole | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.