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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.52+3.97vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.47+0.93vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.79+2.89vs Predicted
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4American University-1.01+2.40vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.32-0.06vs Predicted
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6St. John's College-1.56+1.98vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.50+0.58vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.85-2.03vs Predicted
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9Unknown School-0.93-2.73vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-1.55-2.07vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-2.31-1.31vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-1.35-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.97Virginia Tech-0.5211.3%1st Place
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2.93Drexel University0.4728.4%1st Place
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5.89Princeton University-0.798.2%1st Place
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6.4American University-1.016.2%1st Place
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4.94Princeton University-0.3212.2%1st Place
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7.98St. John's College-1.563.8%1st Place
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7.58Rutgers University-1.504.1%1st Place
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5.97University of Maryland-0.858.4%1st Place
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6.27Unknown School-0.936.8%1st Place
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7.93Syracuse University-1.554.2%1st Place
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9.69U. S. Military Academy-2.312.0%1st Place
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7.45University of Delaware-1.354.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Averyt | 11.3% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Iain Shand | 28.4% | 22.4% | 18.1% | 12.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Ryan Curtis | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Carly Mraz | 12.2% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Macaulay | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 13.7% |
| Marlon Wool | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 9.8% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Faith Otoole | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 13.2% |
| Alyssa Lee | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 41.0% |
| Addie Perez | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.