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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University0.47+1.80vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.79+3.86vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.32+2.12vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.52+1.09vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.85+0.95vs Predicted
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6American University-1.01+0.37vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-0.93-0.65vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.50-0.37vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-1.55-1.18vs Predicted
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10St. John's College-0.86-3.78vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-2.14-1.83vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-2.31-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8Drexel University0.4731.3%1st Place
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5.86Princeton University-0.797.8%1st Place
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5.12Princeton University-0.3210.1%1st Place
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5.09Virginia Tech-0.5211.0%1st Place
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5.95University of Maryland-0.858.3%1st Place
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6.37American University-1.016.3%1st Place
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6.35Unknown School-0.936.2%1st Place
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7.63Rutgers University-1.504.3%1st Place
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7.82Syracuse University-1.554.0%1st Place
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6.22St. John's College-0.866.9%1st Place
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9.17University of Delaware-2.142.1%1st Place
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9.64U. S. Military Academy-2.311.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iain Shand | 31.3% | 23.6% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Carly Mraz | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Matt Averyt | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Curtis | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Marlon Wool | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 10.0% |
| Faith Otoole | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 10.5% |
| Silas Hodges | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Myles Wommack | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 18.9% | 29.1% |
| Alyssa Lee | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 18.9% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.